Feeling the Heat in the Extremes: Where To Expect Heat Waves in the United States in the Future

In the summer of 2022, the US saw record-breaking heat waves that stressed electricity grids, put millions of the most vulnerable Americans in uncomfortable and occasionally lethal conditions, and triggered a flurry of health alerts and warnings. Summers that are oppressively hot and humid will occur more frequently if current patterns continue. This is the key finding of a collection of recent climate estimates produced by scientists from the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) and several universities. Colin Raymond, a researcher at JPL, and colleagues used projections from 20 climate models to determine how much heat stress Americans may experience between 2075 and 2099 on the hottest summer days in relation to recorded norms between 1980 and 2005. If we assume a high-end emissions scenario and the world's temperature rises by 3°C to 5°C by 2075, the top 1% of summer days for heat stress will occur for a quarter to half of the summer. That's a big adjustment, Raymond contin...